Montana 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Montana 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Aaron Flint the clear favorite at 84%, ahead of Christi Jacobsen at 7% in a 4-candidate field. Aaron Flint leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Aaron Flint — 84%
- Christi Jacobsen — 7%
- Albert Olszewski — 6%
- Ray Curtis — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.