Montana 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Montana 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model makes Aaron Flint the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Christi Jacobsen at 7% in a 4-candidate field. Aaron Flint leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Aaron Flint — 85%
2. Christi Jacobsen — 7%
3. Albert Olszewski — 5%
4. Ray Curtis — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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