Montana 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Montana 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Aaron Flint at 73%, ahead of Democrat Sam Forstag at 27%. Sam Forstag leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Aaron Flint — 73%
- Sam Forstag — 27%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.