Montana 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Montana 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Sam Forstag edges Republican Aaron Flint, 52% to 48%. Sam Forstag leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sam Forstag — 52%
- Aaron Flint — 48%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.