Mississippi Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Mississippi Senate rep primary is scheduled for March 10, 2026. The model makes Cindy Hyde-Smith the heavy favorite at 95%, with Sarah Adlakha at 5%. Cindy Hyde-Smith is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) — 95%
  2. Sarah Adlakha — 5%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model