Mississippi 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Mississippi 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for March 10, 2026. The model makes Mike Ezell the heavy favorite at 97%, with Sawyer Walters at 3%. Mike Ezell is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Ezell (incumbent) — 97%
- Sawyer Walters — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.