Mississippi 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Mississippi 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mike Ezell the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Paul Blackman at 0%. Mike Ezell is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Ezell (incumbent) — 100%
- Paul Blackman — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.