Mississippi 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The Mississippi 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Michael Guest the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Michael Chiaradio at 0%. Michael Guest is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michael Guest (incumbent) — 100%
- Michael Chiaradio — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.