Mississippi 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Mississippi 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for March 10, 2026. The model favors Bennie Thompson at 67%, ahead of Evan Turnage at 31% in a 3-candidate field. Bennie Thompson is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bennie Thompson (incumbent) — 67%
- Evan Turnage — 31%
- Pertis Herman Williams III — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.