Mississippi 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Mississippi 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Trent Kelly the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Cliff Johnson at 0%. Trent Kelly is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Cliff Johnson has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Trent Kelly (incumbent) — 100%
- Cliff Johnson — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.