Mississippi 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Mississippi 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for March 10, 2026. The model makes Cliff Johnson the heavy favorite at 96%, with Kelvin Buck at 4%. Cliff Johnson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Cliff Johnson — 96%
- Kelvin Buck — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.