Missouri 8th — House 2026 General Election
The Missouri 8th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Jason Smith the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Frank Barnitz at 0%. Jason Smith is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jason Smith (incumbent) — 100%
- Frank Barnitz — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.