Missouri 6th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Missouri 6th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Chris Stigall at 70%, ahead of Nathan Willett at 22% in a 5-candidate field. Chris Stigall leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Chris Stigall — 70%
2. Nathan Willett — 22%
3. Nathanael Schultz — 3%
4. James Ingram — 2%
5. Cody J. Oshel — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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