Missouri 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Missouri 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Josh Smead the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Matt Levine at 10% in a 3-candidate field. Josh Smead leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Josh Smead — 82%
- Matt Levine — 10%
- Scot Pondelick — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.