Missouri 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Missouri 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Taylor Burks the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Democrat Emanuel Cleaver at 24%. Taylor Burks leads the field in reported fundraising and incumbent Emanuel Cleaver trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Taylor Burks — 76%
- Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) — 24%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.