Missouri 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Missouri 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Emanuel Cleaver at 68%, ahead of Republican Taylor Burks at 32%. Emanuel Cleaver is the incumbent and Taylor Burks leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) — 68%
- Taylor Burks — 32%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.