Missouri 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Missouri 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Bethany Mann the clear favorite at 87%, ahead of Paul Wilson at 4% in a 4-candidate field. Bethany Mann leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bethany Mann — 87%
- Paul Wilson — 4%
- Mike Conner — 4%
- Tommy Holstein — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.