Missouri 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Missouri 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Bethany Mann the heavy favorite at 92%, with Tommy Holstein at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Bethany Mann leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bethany Mann — 92%
- Tommy Holstein — 4%
- Paul Wilson — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.