Missouri 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Missouri 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Fred Wellman the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Joan VonDras at 6% in a 4-candidate field. Fred Wellman leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Fred Wellman — 88%
- Joan VonDras — 6%
- Nick Vivio — 3%
- Tim Bilash — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.