Missouri 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Missouri 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Paul Berry edges Andrew Jones, 50% to 50%. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Paul Berry — 50%
- Andrew Jones — 50%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.