Minnesota Senate 2026 General Election
The Minnesota Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Angie Craig the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya at 20%. Angie Craig leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Angie Craig — 80%
- Michele Tafoya — 20%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.