Minnesota Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Angie Craig edges Peggy Flanagan, 50% to 48% in a 3-candidate field. Angie Craig leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Angie Craig — 50%
- Peggy Flanagan — 48%
- Billy Nord — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.