Minnesota 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model favors Trina Swanson at 72%, ahead of Luke Gulbranson at 25% in a 3-candidate field. Trina Swanson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Trina Swanson — 72%
- Luke Gulbranson — 25%
- John Munter — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.