Minnesota 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Trina Swanson the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Emanuel Anastos at 4% in a 6-candidate field. Trina Swanson leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Trina Swanson — 82%
- Emanuel Anastos — 4%
- Luke Gulbranson — 4%
- Bob Helland — 4%
- Wendell Smith — 4%
- John-Paul McBride — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.