Minnesota 7th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Minnesota 7th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Erik Osberg the heavy favorite at 91%, with Heather Keeler at 5% in a 3-candidate field. Erik Osberg leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Erik Osberg — 91%
  2. Heather Keeler — 5%
  3. Jared Adams — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model