Minnesota 6th — House 2026 General Election
The Minnesota 6th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Tom Emmer the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Doug Chapin at 0%. Tom Emmer is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Tom Emmer (incumbent) — 100%
- Doug Chapin — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.