Minnesota 6th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Minnesota 6th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Doug Chapin the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Anson Amberson at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Doug Chapin leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Doug Chapin — 88%
  2. Anson Amberson — 3%
  3. Jeremy Wicklund — 3%
  4. Sierra Grandy — 3%
  5. Jeanne Hendricks — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model