Minnesota 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Minnesota 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Dalia Al-Aqidi edges John Nagel, 50% to 49% in a 3-candidate field. John Nagel leads the field in reported fundraising and Dalia Al-Aqidi has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dalia Al-Aqidi — 50%
- John Nagel — 49%
- Angie Windhauser — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.