Minnesota 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Minnesota 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Dalia Al-Aqidi the clear favorite at 86%, ahead of John Nagel at 11% in a 3-candidate field. Dalia Al-Aqidi leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dalia Al-Aqidi — 86%
- John Nagel — 11%
- Angie Windhauser — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.