Minnesota 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Minnesota 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model favors Dalia Al-Aqidi at 63%, ahead of John Nagel at 35% in a 3-candidate field. Dalia Al-Aqidi leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dalia Al-Aqidi — 63%
- John Nagel — 35%
- Angie Windhauser — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.