Minnesota 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Ilhan Omar the heavy favorite at 94%, with Latonya Reeves at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Ilhan Omar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ilhan Omar (incumbent) — 94%
- Latonya Reeves — 3%
- Julie Le — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.