Minnesota 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Minnesota 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Paul Xiong the heavy favorite at 95%, with Paul Wikstrom at 5%. Paul Xiong leads the field in reported fundraising and Paul Wikstrom has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Paul Xiong — 95%
- Paul Wikstrom — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.