Minnesota 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Betty McCollum the heavy favorite at 97%, with Aswar Rahman at 3%. Betty McCollum is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Betty McCollum (incumbent) — 97%
- Aswar Rahman — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.