Minnesota 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Minnesota 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Quentin Wittrock edges Tyler Bass, 35% to 33% in a 3-candidate field. Quentin Wittrock has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Quentin Wittrock — 35%
  2. Tyler Bass — 33%
  3. Gavin Solomon — 33%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model