Minnesota 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The Minnesota 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Kelly Morrison the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Tyler Bass at 0%. Kelly Morrison is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kelly Morrison (incumbent) — 100%
- Tyler Bass — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.