Minnesota 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Minnesota 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Matt Little the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Matt Klein at 10% in a 6-candidate field. Matt Klein leads the field in reported fundraising and Kaela Berg has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Matt Little — 80%
  2. Matt Klein — 10%
  3. Kaela Berg — 3%
  4. Hugh McTavish — 3%
  5. Abdisallam Abdulle — 2%
  6. Christopher Mosel — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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