Minnesota 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Minnesota 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model sees a close race: Matt Klein edges Matt Little, 45% to 45% in a 5-candidate field. Matt Little leads the field in reported fundraising and Kaela Berg has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Matt Klein — 45%
- Matt Little — 45%
- Kaela Berg — 5%
- Hugh McTavish — 3%
- Abdisallam Abdulle — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.