Minnesota Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Minnesota Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model favors Mike Lindell at 63%, ahead of Lisa Demuth at 18% in a 8-candidate field. Mike Lindell leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Mike Lindell — 63%
2. Lisa Demuth — 18%
3. Kendall Qualls — 11%
4. Peggy Bennett — 1%
5. Patrick Knight — 1%
6. John Krhin — 1%
7. Phil Parrish — 1%
8. Raul Estrada — 1%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model