Minnesota Governor 2026 Dem Primary

The Minnesota Governor dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Amy Klobuchar the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Paul Ference at 3% in a 8-candidate field. Amy Klobuchar leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Amy Klobuchar — 82%
  2. Paul Ference — 3%
  3. Kobey Layne — 3%
  4. Bill Gates — 3%
  5. Sam Opal Boman — 3%
  6. Tom Evenstad — 3%
  7. Christopher Seymore — 3%
  8. Po Vang — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model