Michigan Senate 2026 General Election
The Michigan Senate general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 56%, ahead of Republican Mike Rogers at 44%. Abdul El-Sayed leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Abdul El-Sayed — 56%
- Mike Rogers — 44%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.