Michigan 13th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Michigan 13th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model favors Donavan McKinney at 64%, ahead of Shri Thanedar at 36%. Donavan McKinney leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Shri Thanedar trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Donavan McKinney — 64%
- Shri Thanedar (incumbent) — 36%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.