Michigan 10th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Michigan 10th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model sees a close race: Robert Lulgjuraj edges Mike Bouchard, 48% to 48% in a 4-candidate field. Robert Lulgjuraj leads the field in reported fundraising and Mike Bouchard has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Robert Lulgjuraj — 48%
- Mike Bouchard — 48%
- Justin Kirk — 2%
- Steffan Demetropoulous — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.