Michigan 2nd — House 2026 General Election
The Michigan 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican John Moolenaar the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Benjamin Ambrose at 0%. John Moolenaar is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Moolenaar (incumbent) — 100%
- Benjamin Ambrose — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.