Michigan 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Michigan 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Benjamin Ambrose the heavy favorite at 92%, with Jamie Hill at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Benjamin Ambrose leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Benjamin Ambrose — 92%
- Jamie Hill — 4%
- Clyde Welford — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.