Michigan 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Michigan 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The model makes Callie Barr the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Kyle Blomquist at 8% in a 3-candidate field. Callie Barr leads the field in reported fundraising and Kyle Blomquist has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Callie Barr — 88%
  2. Kyle Blomquist — 8%
  3. Wayne Stiles — 5%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model