Maine 2nd — House 2026 General Election

The Maine 2nd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Paul LePage the clear favorite at 83%, ahead of Democrat Matthew Dunlap at 17%. Paul LePage leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Paul LePage — 83%
  2. Matthew Dunlap — 17%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model