Maine 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maine 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model has Jordan Wood narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap, 47% to 32% in a 4-candidate field. Jordan Wood leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jordan Wood — 47%
- Matthew Dunlap — 32%
- Joe Baldacci — 20%
- Paige Loud — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.