Maine Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Maine Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model sees a close race: Bobby Charles edges Jonathan Bush, 40% to 34% in a 7-candidate field. Jonathan Bush leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Bobby Charles — 40%
  2. Jonathan Bush — 34%
  3. Garrett Mason — 8%
  4. Ben Midgley — 6%
  5. David Jones — 5%
  6. Owen McCarthy — 4%
  7. Robert Wessels — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model