Maine Governor 2026 Rep Primary

The Maine Governor rep primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model favors Jonathan Bush at 68%, ahead of Bobby Charles at 14% in a 7-candidate field. Jonathan Bush leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Jonathan Bush — 68%
  2. Bobby Charles — 14%
  3. David Jones — 4%
  4. Garrett Mason — 4%
  5. Ben Midgley — 4%
  6. Owen McCarthy — 3%
  7. Robert Wessels — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model