Maine Governor 2026 Dem Primary

The Maine Governor dem primary is scheduled for June 9, 2026. The model sees a close race: Troy Jackson edges Nirav Shah, 26% to 23% in a 5-candidate field. Hannah Pingree leads the field in reported fundraising and Troy Jackson has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Troy Jackson — 26%
2. Nirav Shah — 23%
3. Hannah Pingree — 21%
4. Shenna Bellows — 18%
5. Angus King III — 11%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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