Maryland 8th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maryland 8th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Jamie Raskin the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Stephen Leon at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Jamie Raskin is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jamie Raskin (incumbent) — 89%
- Stephen Leon — 3%
- J. D. Kumar — 3%
- Boris Velasquez — 3%
- Marc Lande — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.