Maryland 7th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maryland 7th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Kweisi Mfume the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Mark Conway at 18% in a 4-candidate field. Kweisi Mfume is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Kweisi Mfume (incumbent) — 77%
- Mark Conway — 18%
- Tashi Davis — 3%
- Theo Gillespie — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.