Maryland 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Maryland 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Michelle Talkington the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Chris Chaffee at 7% in a 4-candidate field. Michelle Talkington leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michelle Talkington — 80%
- Chris Chaffee — 7%
- Bryan DuVal Cubero — 7%
- Jordan Eversley — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.