Maryland 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Maryland 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Michelle Talkington the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Chris Chaffee at 4% in a 4-candidate field. Michelle Talkington leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Michelle Talkington — 88%
- Chris Chaffee — 4%
- Bryan DuVal Cubero — 4%
- Jordan Eversley — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.