Maryland 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maryland 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model has Quincy Bareebe narrowly ahead of Harry Dunn, 34% to 14% in a 24-candidate field. Quincy Bareebe leads the field in reported fundraising and Adrian Boafo has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Quincy Bareebe — 34%
- Harry Dunn — 14%
- Adrian Boafo — 4%
- Wala Blegay — 3%
- Harry Jarin — 2%
- Rushern Baker — 2%
- Tracy Starr — 2%
- Mark Arness — 2%
+16 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.