Maryland 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Maryland 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model has Harry Dunn narrowly ahead of Quincy Bareebe, 44% to 10% in a 24-candidate field. Quincy Bareebe leads the field in reported fundraising and Adrian Boafo has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Harry Dunn — 44%
  2. Quincy Bareebe — 10%
  3. Adrian Boafo — 6%
  4. Rushern Baker — 2%
  5. Wala Blegay — 2%
  6. Tracy Starr — 2%
  7. David Sundberg — 2%
  8. Reuben Collins II — 2%

+16 more candidates

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model