Maryland 4th — House 2026 General Election
The Maryland 4th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Glenn Ivey the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican George McDermott at 0%. Glenn Ivey is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Glenn Ivey (incumbent) — 100%
- George McDermott — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.