Maryland 4th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maryland 4th — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Glenn Ivey the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Jakeya Johnson at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Glenn Ivey is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Glenn Ivey (incumbent) — 88%
- Jakeya Johnson — 3%
- Shavonne Hedgepeth — 3%
- Jonathan White — 3%
- Joseph Gomes — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.