Maryland 3rd — House 2026 General Election
The Maryland 3rd — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Sarah Elfreth the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Berney Flowers at 0%. Sarah Elfreth is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Sarah Elfreth (incumbent) — 100%
- Berney Flowers — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.