Maryland 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Maryland 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Andy Harris the heavy favorite at 97%, with Chris Bruneau at 3%. Andy Harris is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Andy Harris (incumbent) — 97%
- Chris Bruneau — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.