Maryland 1st — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Maryland 1st — House dem primary is scheduled for June 23, 2026. The model makes Dan Schwartz the heavy favorite at 91%, with Randi White at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Dan Schwartz leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dan Schwartz — 91%
- Randi White — 3%
- Victor Guidice — 3%
- George Walish — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.